Daibutsu, Kamakura

Daibutsu, Kamakura
Daibutsu in Kamakura, June 2010. There were thousands of school kids visiting that day. It was still great fun.
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Occupy Los Angeles - Obama is a Douche Bag

Occupy LA Hospital

They promote cannibalizing the rich. Yummy. 

South side of City Hall

Down with the evil, lazy, greedy rich. Apparently all wealthy people did not work hard and earn their money.

They even have a university. Economic 101 - Occupy LA University

The 99% have fallen on hard times it appears.

Fight the power. The red star and fist is eerily reminiscent of the old Soviet Union if you ask me.

Fine dining at Occupy LA Restaurant.

Very nice likeness of Timothy Geithner. Bad teeth though.

You suck billionaires. And so do you Obama.

See, I knew it. It IS class warfare.

Occupy LA Library.

No one likes an ass hole.

Obama is a douche bag.

The prime evil doer. Actually, I do agree with this. Greenspan sucks.

Pile 'O Signs

Occupy LA wants a small footprint.

Occupy LA tent city South.

The Evil Doers

A very wide range of demands.

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Japan's Debt Crisis

Below is a portion of a recent January 27, 2011 article from Time.com regarding Japan's debt crisis.

Standard & Poor's on Thursday downgraded Japan's long-term credit rating. Granted, the rating is still very, very strong, but the action does indicate how investors are growing nervous about the deteriorating state of government finances even in those economies considered to be the bedrock of the global economy.

Japan has been heading here for a while. Its government debt to GDP ratio, at around 200%, is already the highest of any industrialized country. Its economy has been in a slow-motion economic crisis for two decades, yet policymakers have proven incapable of undertaking the sort of reforms necessary to get growth going again. And despite talk of a hike in the consumption tax and other measures to shore up state finances, the latest budget, passed in December, is anything but austere, with borrowing expected to exceed tax revenues. Thus giant budget deficits are expected to continue. S&P noted all this in its statement on the downgrade:

The downgrade reflects our appraisal that Japan's government debt ratios--already among the highest for rated sovereigns--will continue to rise further than we envisaged before the global economic recession hit the country and will peak only in the mid-2020s. Specifically, we expect general government fiscal deficits to fall only modestly from an estimated 9.1% of GDP in fiscal 2010 (ending March 31, 2011) to 8.0% in fiscal 2013. In the medium term, we do not forecast the government achieving a primary balance before 2020 unless a significant fiscal consolidation program is implemented beforehand.

Nor are the underlying dynamics within the population and economy going to help Japan get out of its fiscal mess:

Japan's fast-aging population challenges both its fiscal and economic outlooks. The nation's total social security related expenses now make up 31% of the government's fiscal 2011 budget, and this ratio will rise absent reforms beyond those enacted in 2004. An aging and shrinking labor force contributes to our modest medium-term growth estimate of around 1%.

S&P, however, has little faith that the current administration running Japan can implement a serious program that could reverse the deteriorating trend in national finances:

In our opinion, the Democratic Party of Japan-led government lacks a coherent strategy to address these negative aspects of the country's debt dynamics, in part due to the coalition having lost its majority in the upper house of parliament last summer. We think there is a low chance that the government's announced 2011 reviews of the nation's social security and consumption tax systems will lead to material improvements to the intertemporal solvency of the state... Thus, notwithstanding the still strong domestic demand for government debt and corresponding low real interest rates, we expect Japan's fiscal flexibility to diminish.

To be clear here, Japan is not Greece or Ireland. S&P's downgrade doesn't mean Japan is spiraling into a debt crisis. Japan is still a creditor nation with giant foreign exchange reserves and high national savings. But at the same time, the downgrade shows the slippery slope all of the developed world finds itself on. As debt mounts and aging populations put more strain on government budgets, there is a rising possibility that investors will eventually lose confidence in countries like France, the U.K. or Japan in the same way they have with Greece, Ireland and Portugal. This isn't going to happen tomorrow, but it will happen unless governments fix their finances, and in an intelligent way that supports long-term growth.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Japan has no "coherent strategy" to tackle problems that have been decades in the makinge

That is the report from credit reporting agency Standard & Poor's. That is a pretty harsh and depressing statement. Since the economic collapse in Japan in the late 80s, Japan apparently decided to solve the problem with massive government spending rather than to deal with their debt and undergoing massive restructuring. It appears that decision over 20 years ago and the lack of much willingness to change has only made Japan's problems worse. Will Japan ever realize their problems and deal with them in an aggressive way? I'm not sure.

Below is an article from Fortune.com describing S&P's recent and shocking downgrade of Japan's debt credit rating.

Japan downgrade: The beginning of the end?

Posted by Katie Benner

What a downgrade of Japanese debt by S&P could mean for the country's future and for the rest of the world.

Japanese debt downgrade

Tokyo still looks bright.

The timing of the downgrade of Japan's sovereign bonds by Standard & Poor's on Thursday came as a bit of a surprise to some. After all, Japanese government bond yields have been relatively stable recently, the yen fairly strong, and, as Citigroup points out, the government has vowed to address its sky-high debt load this year.

But S&P isn't convinced that's going to happen. "The downgrade reflects our appraisal that Japan's government debt ratios--already among the highest for rated sovereigns--will continue to rise further than we envisaged before the global economic recession hit the country and will peak only in the mid-2020s."

The agency has been concerned about Japan for months, issuing reports last October and November that said the country's debt, the highest in the developed world, threatened to destroy its credit worthiness. As it did then, S&P says today that the country has no "coherent strategy" to tackle problems that have been decades in the making.

When Japan's economy collapsed in the late 1980s, the government chose not to write down bad loans or take the pain of massive restructurings. Instead it launched a massive borrowing program in the hope of stimulating the economy enough to outgrow its rough patch. Government debt grew from 66% of gross domestic product in 1989 to 226% in 2009 -- by far the largest percentage of any industrialized nation. (The U.S. figure is 93%.) Despite the spending, Japan's economy never strengthened, and the country fell into a cycle of increased deficit spending.

Certainly Japan's woes are no secret. But perhaps paradoxically, because the country has stagnated for so long, many assumed the economy had bottomed out. Sure, a recovery may not be likely -- but a collapse? Hard to imagine, or so one might think.

The debt problem could push Japan's rating into the BBB category after 2015, S&P said in November, "and by 2025, the country's fiscal indicators might weaken to the extent that they would be more typical of the performance we currently associate with speculative-grade sovereigns (those rated 'BB+' or lower)." Today's downgrade pushed its long-term rating from AA to AA-minus.

While the move came as a surprise to some, a handful of investors and economists saw the downgrade as an acknowledgment of what they have believed for years: Japan is en route to a national debt crisis and a massive devaluation of the yen.

Kyle Bass, who runs the Dallas-based hedge fund Hayman Advisors, has been the most vocal prophet of Japan's doom, taking his message to conferences and the media for over a year. The genial southerner, who darkens at the mention of the country's finances, is wagering his investors' money (and his own) that, sometime in the next five years, the Japanese government will have to pay such high interest rates to sell its bonds that the government will effectively go bankrupt. "The Japanese have created the circumstances for the greatest financial failure in world history," he says. The worldwide impact will be "awful."

Money manager Vitaliy Katsenelson and Devin Stewart, a senior director at the Japan Society in New York and a Carnegie Council Senior Fellow, agree with Bass. The way they see it, Japan has never meaningfully flirted with a loan default because it has always been able to borrow money from its own life insurance companies, pension funds, and banks.

Indeed, these institutions own more than 90% of all of Japan's outstanding debt. Moreover, they loaned the government ever-larger sums and demanded almost no yield in return. That left the Japanese government much like a man who carries a huge balance on an ultralow-interest-rate credit card: His salary may never be large enough to pay the bill in full, but he can always cover the minimum payment.

Disastrous demographics

Bass, Katsenelson and Stewart say that this balancing act is being upended because of a simple shift in demographics. Seniors now make up about 23% of the country, according to estimates from the Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation. That's nearly twice the percentage of retired citizens in the U. S. and three times that of the rest of the world.

The graying of the population is playing out in two ways that could have disastrous consequences for Japan. First, entities like life insurance companies and the Government Pension Investment Fund will be net sellers of Japanese government bonds going forward so that they can gather cash to support the new pensioners.

Meanwhile the population is in long-term decline -- the working-age group peaked in 2009 -- so there are fewer workers and a smaller pool of tax receipts to support the retirees. Japanese tax revenues have collapsed to levels not seen since 1985, both because of the demographic shift and the global recession.

That means Japan has to sell more bonds even as its traditional customers begin selling more than they buy. The rub: "The available pool of capital to buy bonds is no longer greater than the debt needs," says Bass.

Japan will someday have to entice new investors, mostly from other countries -- and it doesn't have an appealing story to tell. The government currently runs a deficit of about $500 billion a year and growing. And it has the highest corporate taxes and among the highest income taxes in the world. Attempts to raise the nation's value-added tax have been rejected by the people. Efforts to raise capital by liquidating the country's $2.8 trillion in financial assets (many of which are U.S. Treasuries) would send the sort of desperate signal that would hurt the price of Japanese bonds.

In short, if Japan wants to sell bonds to the rest of the world, it's going to have to offer higher interest rates. But if Japan paid what the rest of the G-7 pays, its interest costs would immediately exceed its revenues. Current debt payments are about $244 billion a year. Bass has calculated that every percentage point in higher yields adds another $125 billion in annual interest expenses. So if investors demand just an extra two percentage points above current yields -- bringing Japan in line with what Canada would pay to issue debt -- that adds $250 billion in annual interest payments to the country's debt figure. That eats up the nation's entire $489 billion in revenue.

Aaron Costello, a global investment strategist at Cambridge Associates says that the need to borrow from the outside would probably trigger a debt crisis, but it could be a long time before this happens. In some ways, Japan's fate is tied to the speed with which investor sentiment can change.

"Like all government debt, Japan faces a confidence game," Costello says. "Right now there's plenty of confidence, but the markets inside and outside of Japan may move in anticipation of stress. It could price in the need for incremental foreign purchases and you could see yields easily double to 3%."

The Japan of the future

Vice Finance Minister Fumihiko Igarashi said this week that his country must fix its budget problems or face a debt crisis that could trigger a global depression.

Bass says the scenario would mean the political chess game between debtor and indebted nations is on. "Central banks should be positioning themselves for this and playing out the endgame," Bass says. "How many times do you think the U.S. military has game-theoried a conflict between Iran and Israel? I'd be willing to bet countless times. But how many times do you think our Treasury has played out a Japanese bond crisis? I'm willing to say never."

Most importantly, the difference between Japan, which seems relatively sanguine, and the struggling EU nations, which seem to flirt with disaster everyday, is that no one has enough money to bail out Japan.

"If Lehman Brothers was too big to fail, then Japan would be too big to save," agrees Costello. "In some respects Japan is ahead of the curve, because Europe and the United States are eventually going to have to deal with this, and it will be interesting to see how this plays out."

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Is Japan all doom and gloom?

Below is an AP article from MSNBC. It paints a pretty gloomy picture of Japan's future. My question, is this article just another typical gloomy Japan article based on exaggerations and oversimplifications or is this trull what Japan's present and future look like?

Japan has been overtaken by China as the world's No. 2 economy. Its flagship company, Toyota, recalled more than 10 million vehicles in an embarrassing safety crisis. Its fourth prime minister resigned in three years, and the government remains unable to jolt an economy entering its third decade of stagnation.

Image: Office workers head for a train station in Tokyo
Shizuo Kambayashi / AP
For once-confident Japan, 2010 may well mark a symbolic milestone in its slide from economic giant to what experts see as its likely destiny: a second-tier power with some standout companies but limited global influence.

For once-confident Japan, 2010 may well mark a symbolic milestone in its slide from economic giant to what experts see as its likely destiny: a second-tier power with some standout companies but limited global influence.

As Japanese drink up at year-end parties known as "bonen-kai," or "forget-the-year gatherings," this is one many will be happy to forget.

Problem is, there's little to look forward to. With a rapidly aging population, bulging national debt, political gridlock and a risk-averse culture slow to embrace change, Japan's prospects aren't promising. And a tense, high-seas spat with China has intensified fears of its neighbor as a military as well as economic threat.

A few optimists hope Japan can harness its strength in technology and its "Cool Japan" cultural appeal — from fashion and art to "anime" cartoons. The country needs to shed its reliance on manufacturing, they argue, and find new growth areas such as green energy, software engineering and health care for its elderly.

But talk to university students, and their outlook is bleak.

Many worry about finding steady jobs and whether they can support families — concerns that have contributed to Japan's low fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman. Average household income has fallen 9 percent since 1993.

Makoto Miyazaki, a 22-year-old student at prestigious Keio University in Tokyo, senses forces outside his control — and Japan's — are going to dictate his future.

"Internationally, Japan is between big countries like China and the U.S. And Korea is becoming a major competitor — that's a big threat to Japan," he said. "I feel like we have fewer choices."

It's a startling contrast with the 1980s, when Japan was flush with cash and some experts believed its economy was poised to dominate the world.

Millions have given up the goal of lifetime employment at a major corporation and become "freeters," flitting among temporary jobs with few if any benefits. As companies cut costs, temporary workers have grown to a third of the work force, up from 16 percent in the mid-1980s.

Further, the population is projected to fall from 127 million to 90 million by 2055 — 40 percent of them over the age of 65. That's going to place a heavy tax burden on workers.

Economic difficulty is a chief reason more than 30,000 Japanese have committed suicide every year for the past 12 years.

Hopes for change from the Democratic Party, which toppled the long-ruling conservatives last year, have fizzled. The Democrats lost control of the upper house of parliament in July elections, setting the stage for political gridlock.

Prime Minister Naoto Kan has acknowledged Japan's declining status.

His prescription: "Open up the country." He advocates reducing trade barriers, loosening regulations and making the country a more attractive place to invest.

His Cabinet recently approved cutting the corporate tax rate by 5 percentage points to 35 percent and is weighing whether Japan should join a U.S.-led free trade zone, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, that would slash tariffs on everything from electronics to food.

Business leaders say doing so is vital, but farmers fear a flood of cheaper imports would ruin them. Analysts say it could be a vehicle for economic revival but also lead to job losses and social dislocation, especially in rural areas.

"Merely unleashing the forces of competition and the free market isn't going to do the trick because people who feel vulnerable will crawl back into whatever they have," said Koichi Nakano, a political science professor at Sophia University in Tokyo.

Nakano and others say sweeping changes are needed in both policy and mindset, from expanding the social safety net to overcoming a deep fear of failure that has constrained entrepreneurship and risk-taking — and Japan's economic potential.

About 77 percent of Japan's jobless aren't getting unemployment benefits, according to International Labor Organization data, in part because temporary workers don't qualify.

Shizuo Kambayashi / AP
Japanese will drink up at year-end parties known as "bonen-kai," or "forget-the-year gatherings," noting 2010 is one year many will be happy to forget.

Japan can be innovative: It is the world leader in hybrid vehicles and industrial robots. Nintendo's Wii gaming console is a hit in living rooms around the world. Entrepreneur Tadashi Yanai, Japan's richest person, built Fast Retailing Co. and its low-cost Uniqlo brand into one of Asia's biggest clothing retailers.

But Japan sometimes undermines itself by being insular. Its sophisticated mobile phone industry, for example, has failed to grow overseas because it operates on a network hardly used anywhere else — earning it the nickname "Galapagos Syndrome."

One optimist is Michael Alfant, an American who has worked in Japan for 20 years. He sees the country becoming more entrepreneurial and focusing on opportunities in service industries.

"Japan is reinventing itself," said Alfant, CEO of Fusion Systems, a startup software company, and the incoming president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Japan. "I'm very confident Japan will get there."

Any change is likely to come gradually.

A conformist, consensus-based culture means Japan is generally slow to make changes or respond to crises — as seen in Toyota Motor Corp.'s handling of its safety woes.

"One would think there would be more of a sense of urgency here," said Jeff Kingston, director of Asian Studies at Temple University's Tokyo campus. "At best, Japan will muddle through, meaning it will avert catastrophe, but it is hard to see anything but bleak prospects in a country that should be doing better given its enormous strengths."

Copyright 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Japan PM, hoping to break impasse, gathers Cabinet to discuss US base move


Japan PM, hoping to break impasse, gathers Cabinet to discuss US base move - latimes.com

Hatoyama's approval ratings are sinking like the Titanic. Which is interesting since Hatoyama continues to work towards a plan to relocate the American Marine base in Okinawa, a subject that is popular with the Japanese public. However, his plans don't go far enough as far as most Okinawan's are concerned so Hatoyama is even less popular in Okinawa.

According to the Yomiuri Shimbun, Hatoyama's approval rating is a dismal 24 percent. That's George W. Bush territory.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Shrinking Japan

Most of you are probably aware of Japan's impending population decline and it's rapidly aging society. You may have heard of some of the serious threats from this decline such as depopulating rural areas, a pyramid pension system on the road to collapse, a shrinking economy.

If you have not heard of this issue or not thought too much about it, I recommend you read this excellent blog article from Spike Japan. It's a long post but well worth the time as it does an excellent job of describing Japan's population problem from the point of view of rural Hokkaido.


Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Japan Unveils New Plan for Growth - NYTimes.com

Japan Unveils New Plan for Growth - NYTimes.com

Mr. Hatoyama has some ambitious plans for Japan according to this New York Times article. Some goals seem realistic but others seem to me, as well as various analysts, to be completely unrealistic.

Some of his goals that I think are doable include turning Haneda into a 24-hour international airport and expanding the economy at an average rate of 2% over the next 10 years. The goal for expanding the economy seems doable to me based solely on his meager projection of 2% average per year. Compare that to China's average of 8 to 10% growth per year.

Some of Mr. Hatoyama's other goals seem completely unrealistic pie-in-the-sky goals such as creating an Asian free-trade zone which I assume would include China and tripling the number of foreign visitors to Japan to 25 million. I don't think it will be possible for China and Japan to agree on a free-trade zone, at least by 2020. I also don't see how it's possible to achieve the 25 million foreign visitors goal but maybe since he has given 10 years to accomplish it. Good luck.


Thursday, November 19, 2009

Man in Limbo at Narita

I will be coming to Japan in one week. Maybe I will see this guy hanging out at Narita.

He is Feng Zhenghu, an activist from China. He has been trying to return to China but the Chinese government, without reason, has refused to allow him to re-enter China. So Mr. Zhenghu has been living in limbo at Narita for almost two weeks. But he has not been staying in the main terminal area where the restaurants and lounges are. He is stuck in the no-man's land between the airplane disembarkation point and airport immigration. After his last attempt to re-enter China through Shanghai, where he was sent back to Japan by Chinese authorities, Mr. Zhenghu drew the line and refused to enter Japan. So here he lives in Narita no-man's land.

He has apparently been surviving on hand-outs of food from supporters and passengers. He has not showered since he last arrived, only being able to wash is face with hot water. The polite Japanese airport authorities have attempted to convince him to pass through the immigration gates but he has refused. Zhenghu states he misses his home and just wants to return, no matter what happens to him. Since he is in a secure area, supporters are unable to visit him except through arriving flights. A supporter from Hong Kong flew to Narita to see him but depressingly she arrived through the wrong terminal. After returning to Hong Kong, she immediately returned on a different flight she knew would take her through the correct terminal that Mr. Zhenghu was staying at.

Maybe I will bring a candy bar or some other snack so if I see Mr. Zhenghu when I arrive at Narita I can give it to him.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Obama's bow

Did Obama overdo it when he bowed deeply to the Japanese Emperor during his recent visit? Credit for this post and photos goes to Anthony Bryant over at Samurai Archives.

There is some controversy in the States with how the President of the United States has bowed to foreign royalty, especially after he bowed deeply to the Saudi King earlier this year. I have less of a problem with the bow to the Japanese Emperor but I do think that Obama is overdoing it and the President of the United States should not be bowing the way he has. Below are some other world leaders meeting the Emperor. You be the judge.

Former Russian President Putin


Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert


The King of Morocco


Obama: "Excuse me Emperor, I seemed to have lost a contact lens. Don't move."


Sunday, October 18, 2009

Japan: Robot Nation

Below is an interesting program from current.com about Japan's rapidly aging and shrinking population. I found this program through Bartman905's blog "Konnichiwa". The program is 25 minutes long but it is very interesting. It doesn't just cover the use of robots in Japan but touches on the aspect of Japan's reluctance to increase foreign immigration as way to compensate for the shrinking population.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Yukio Hatoyama

Yukio Hatoyama is attending the Climate Summit in New York. Today he made a pretty amazing announcement that I think upstaged all other developed nations including the United States. Hatoyama announced at the summit, in very good English, that Japan will cut emissions by a wopping 25% by 2020.

No other nation made as big a commitment. China did announce major goals of using clean energy such solar, wind and nuclear power, but they did not commit to a specific target for reduction.

Hatoyama's announcement of 25% is pretty ambitious and I am not sure they will be able to meet it. But I think Japan has a good chance of meeting that goal. But not just because of a strong push by Japan and Japanese to be more efficient and produce more clean energy. But because of Japan's rapidly shrinking population and relatively stagnant economy.

A country with a shrinking population will generally produce less waste and less emissions. So his announcement of reducing emissions by 25% by 2020, although impressive, is not as amazing as it would seem.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Farmers wage turf battle with Japan air force

Interesting article in the Los Angeles times about some Japanese farmers waging an anti-war, anti-military base campaign at a base north of Tokyo.



Farmers wage turf battle with Japan air force

Antiwar farmers near an air base northeast of Tokyo have infiltrated the base by working plots of land and have surrounded it with 'peace parks.' The government seeks to buy them out, but in vain.

By John M. Glionna

September 10, 2009

Reporting from Hyakuri, Japan


Crouched in his lush green rice fields on this agricultural plain northeast of Tokyo, Masaru Umezawa works the land as his father and grandfather did before him.

On a humid late-summer afternoon, the only sound is the buzzing of the cicadas from a nearby thicket of trees. Then it starts -- slowly at first and building in intensity until it reaches a deafening pitch: the roar of a shiny supersonic jet lifting off the runway at the Japanese military's Hyakuri Airfield.

Nearly 100 times a day, the jets take off and land, performing training maneuvers overhead and creating a racket that makes it impossible for the stocky farmer and his family to watch television or talk on the telephone, let alone hear themselves think.

"It's probably why my wife and I have stayed married so long," he said. "When we fight, we can't hear what the other is yelling."

Umezawa doesn't just live near the air base. He lives inside it -- only a few feet from where the planes take off.

The 60-year-old farmer is one of several local antiwar activists who over the last half a century have waged an often-tense turf battle with the Self-Defense Forces, as Japan's military is known.

Residents here say the military co-opted much of the area's farmland to build the air base in the 1950s, casually pushing aside hardworking farmers like so many pawns on a chessboard. Many argue that the base itself is illegal. Controversial Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution prohibits the nation from maintaining armed forces with war potential, they insist.

And so in a bold defensive maneuver, they have surrounded the base and inhabit its confines. While Umezawa's family and another hold on to land within the base, other families operate farms around its borders.

In the face of stiff resistance from the landowners, the government has followed a less-controversial policy of trying to buy land rather than seizing it by eminent domain. But the activists have refused to sell -- even when offered double the market value.



The farmers who continue to till the soil on the outskirts of the airfield block official plans for expansion. Umezawa's family and the other one working small plots inside the base's barbed-wire fences gain access to their land via court-protected farm roads settlers have used for generations.

Still others have used their property to create "peace parks" within the air base, a patchwork of well-manicured oases from which they watch the young jet jockeys in the cockpits of their multimillion-dollar military hardware.

"We're a small army of people," Umezawa said, "but we've much more willpower than they do."

Umezawa believes he has to make a stand. "Armed forces just aren't good for the human race," he said.

Hyakuri Airfield officials declined to discuss the standoff.

The Imperial Japanese Navy first developed the airfield in 1937, the emperor ordering many farmers in the area to sacrifice their land for the nation. After the war, locals used sledgehammers to break up the single runway and feeder roads. They repossessed the land and began farming again.

In 1956, the Self-Defense Forces reopened the air base, to the disgust of farmers. "We'd all had enough of war," Umezawa said of the activists.

Many farmers were again pushed aside, their land taken a second time. Others were allowed to continue farming.

About 130 farmers held protests that often turned into violent battles with police. Over the years, some farmers sold out, reasoning that the land was too arid to be profitable.

Then, in 1966, locals tapped into a well system to better irrigate the land for a wider variety of crops. The farms suddenly flourished, to the dismay of base officials.

The owners of the peace parks had their own survival plan: They sold tiny, 6-foot-by-6-foot swaths of land to other anti-military activists -- further complicating the government's effort to buy the land.

Over the years, the Hyakuri activists have repeatedly embarrassed the military, especially the outspoken Toshio Tamogami, former chief of staff of Japan's Air Self-Defense Force, one of the branches of the military established after World War II to defend the nation.

"He said it was shameful that the Air Self-Defense Force couldn't even prevail over a group of farmers," said Goemon Date, spokesman for an antiwar group supporting Hyakuri residents.

Base officers once used binoculars to keep tabs on their neighbors. But the passing years led to an uneasy truce. "It's not exactly friendly," Date said. "We see officers and recognize each other's faces. We might smile, but we never say hello."

One by one, many original stalwarts have died, leaving only the two families to continue farming within the base. Activists running the peace parks are also getting older.

Until he suffered a stroke, 73-year-old Koki Kawai served as a loyal groundskeeper, allowing visitors into his peace park for a small fee. Now his body is partially paralyzed.

His wife carries on his work at the park, a leafy area of cherry and maple trees. The mighty Japanese Self-Defense Forces have met their match in the diminutive Mitsue Kawai. Standing barely 4-foot-7, her will is unbending.

"My husband feels bad that he can't be here," she said softly. "So I come here for him."

On a recent day, she wore a pink towel beneath her straw hat to block the sun. She bent low to pick weeds from her beloved park as uniformed men raced about to refuel a plane at a military hangar not far away.

"I know we're a sore point to those military men," she said. "We must annoy them. If we weren't here, they could use this entire area any way they wished."

From a viewing platform, she often watches the passing pilots, many young enough to be her grandsons. Some smile, others flex their muscles or offer a macho frown. "They know we're watching them," Kawai said sweetly.

On an afternoon of unusually heavy military maneuvers overhead, Umezawa sipped tea at the homestead he shares with his mother, wife and eldest son. The couple have another home nearby.

The tiny one-story structure is surrounded by the family's rice fields. Lifting his head from fixing a car motor, Umezawa's son shrugged at the noise from the base. "I've heard it all my life," he said. "All my life."

Umezawa inherited his farmstead when his father died last year. He knows that he too will go one day. But he has a plan.

"We're raising our children to continue the fight," he said. "We're not just thinking about today, but the next 100 years."

The government recently offered Umezawa $5 million for his homestead and farmland. He turned them down flat.

And those jets that go screaming overhead for 10 hours a day? Umezawa doesn't hear them at all.

"The mind has an innate ability to tune out noise," he said. "If you listened to those planes every day, you'd go crazy."

He watched an F-4 slowly lift off with a racket that would send most people reaching for their ears. But Umezawa didn't move.

"Human beings," he shouted, "can live in any environment!"

john.glionna@latimes.com

Thursday, July 16, 2009

The American Deserter of Sado Island

Below is an interesting article from the Los Angeles Times about Charles Robert Jenkins, the American deserter who now lives on Sado Island. The article talks about is new job as a greeter at a local Sado souvenir shop. He doesn't look very comfortable with his career. But he refuses to "live off his wife's income", which I think is good of him. It seems to me that he is popular among Japanese tourists mainly for being a celebrity oddity on the remote island.



From the Los Angeles Times

COLUMN ONE

Second life of GI who deserted to North Korea

Charles Robert Jenkins was an Army sergeant when he sneaked across the DMZ in 1965. Allowed to leave the North in 2004, he lives on a Japanese island with his family, working as a greeter in a shop.
By John M. Glionna

July 16, 2009

Reporting from Sado Island, Japan — Charles Robert Jenkins is running late. He hurries into work at the souvenir shop to a chorus of approving calls that has become the foreign-language soundtrack to his life.

"Jenkins-san!" shout two dozen tourists lined up to meet this diminutive man with jug-handle ears, a 69-year-old American who speaks only a few words of their native tongue.

With a weary smile, Jenkins poses for a frenzy of snapshots, awkwardly holding a box of specialty cookies. Everyone wants a piece of him, pressing in close to shake his hand and ask him to sign their souvenir snacks.

"One day I counted 300 pictures in the first hour alone," Jenkins recalls in the easy cadence of his native North Carolina. "Then I just gave up counting."

And so begins another day in the bizarre life of a man famous for "the stupidest decision of my life."

In 1965, Jenkins was a U.S. Army sergeant assigned to the demilitarized zone that divides the Korean peninsula, a skinny 24-year-old who was terrified of being sent to what he considered a sure death in Vietnam.

One night, after guzzling 10 beers for courage, he abandoned his sense of duty and freedom as he knew it to stumble across the border into North Korea, a desperate midnight maneuver that led to four lost decades in communist captivity.

Jenkins quickly became the Pyongyang government's most prized Cold War pawn. He starred in propaganda movies and memorized the inflated political tracts of "Great Leader" Kim Il Sung, enduring a life so dreary and deprived that "most days you wished you were dead."

Eventually, he married Hitomi Soga, a Japanese woman abducted in 1978 as a teenager by the North Koreans. They raised two daughters, eking out an existence on government-issued rice and the undersized vegetables they grew in their garden.

Soga was released by Pyongyang in 2002 but later reconnected with Jenkins and the children she left behind. The couple's emotional reunion, falling into each other's arms at an Indonesian airport, elevated them to the status of unofficial Japanese royalty -- their fairy-tale cross-cultural romance celebrated by an entire nation.

In 2004, Jenkins settled here on isolated Sado island off Japan's western coast, explaining that it was for the sake of his family. Soga, who was abducted from Sado, and daughters Mika and Brinda, who speak little English, have declined to discuss their captivity, which, for the daughters, ended along with Jenkins' in 2004.

Not Jenkins. Since his U.S. Army court-martial, at which he was sentenced to 30 days in jail for abandoning his unit, he has published a memoir, "The Reluctant Communist," a book his wife didn't want him to write out of fear of North Korean reprisals.

Still part Southern good ol' boy, Jenkins likes fast cars and racing his motorcycle. He slaps his knee when he tells a joke.

But despite his five years of freedom, the Wal-Mart-style souvenir shop greeter remains a solitary figure, a modern-day man without a country. He's an accidental expat with few close friends who still grapples with the guilt and shame of abandoning his men and his nation so many years ago.

The fallout from being held more than half his life in a secretive, alien culture still hovers about him: He knows that some folks back in North Carolina, the place that's still part of his bones, dismiss him as a communist sympathizer. Yet in Japan, where he is accepted, even embraced, he often feels like a dime-store curiosity.

Life remains a dizzying cultural puzzle. He admits that he speaks better Korean than English. He uses Korean with his wife and daughters, who prefer to speak Japanese among themselves.

He likes Elvis Presley, a boyhood hero, but also listens to Michael Jackson, whose music he first discovered buying black-market cassettes in Pyongyang, which he pronounces "pinyan."

"You couldn't make up his life -- it's something out of an absurd film," said Jim Frederick, who co-wrote Jenkins' 2008 book. "It's the story of a stranger in a strange land.

"While everyone is nice to him, he's still an outsider, still a stranger. He's still not home, and he probably never will be."

The moment he crossed the barbed-wire border into North Korea, Jenkins realized he'd made a terrible mistake.

His time in North Korea was part comedy, part horror. He says he and three other American deserters mocked their political minders, whom they nicknamed Whitey, the Fat Cadre and the Colonel in Glasses.

Jenkins also says he once had part of a U.S. military tattoo on his arm cut away -- without anesthesia.

In 1980, he was introduced to Soga and soon became protective of the slight woman 20 years his junior. They quickly married.

"I don't know what drove us together. On the face of it, we had very little in common," Jenkins wrote in his memoir. "I do know that we were very lonely in a world where we both were total outsiders. And it took us a very short time to realize that we both hated North Korea. That gave us a strong common bond."

Jenkins rounds the corner in his Japanese subcompact and points to a spot along the road. "There," he says, "right there."

Near his wife's childhood home, where the family now lives, is the place where Hitomi Sago and her mother were abducted as they returned home from the market. Decades later, the mother's whereabouts remain unknown.

Nearly 700 miles east of Pyongyang, the site serves as a grim reminder of a captive past that will not leave Jenkins be. He often dreams about being chased by North Korean agents. More often, he fantasizes about kidnapping one of the sons of current North Korean leader Kim Jong Il, as a way to have some sort of revenge for a life lost.

Jenkins still shivers and looks over his shoulder, unconvinced that North Korean agents won't come for him.

"I figure I know more about North Korea than any foreigner in the world outside of Pyongyang," he says. "I don't care if they kill me. I just don't want them to take me back."

Each day, Jenkins reports to the souvenir shop with a homemade lunch of rice and dumplings his wife prepares before she heads off to work at a nearby nursing home. He has gained weight since arriving here at just over 100 pounds.

Sometimes he tires of the fishbowl life, the reporters who follow his every move. They trailed him to Tokyo when he went to take his driver's license exam and followed him to North Carolina, erecting their cameras in the front yard when he returned home to bury his 94-year-old mother.

And although he is thankful to the Japanese, he often feels like screaming if he has to pose for one more tourist snapshot. He now declines to autograph the boxes of cookies thrust at him.

With a smirk, he wheels out the life-size replica he calls "the dummy" that his bosses produce for tourists when he's not there.

"The tourists have seen his face on TV so often, they consider him a movie star," said Keigo Homma, a volunteer who helps Jenkins with his Japanese. "He's about their size, not like other Americans who tower over them. So they feel comfortable with Jenkins."

Despite the annoyances, Jenkins revels in his life without barbed wire, in being free to kick-start his motorcycle and go out for a spin. Like the day the local mayor let him race down the tiny island airport's runway. "Got up to 150 miles an hour," he says with a smile. "Man, that's fast."

He has quit smoking, but he says he can still taste the harsh North Korean cigarettes that burned your lips when lighted. There are other legacies of the nightmare: On an island where sashimi is plentiful, Jenkins says he can't bring himself to eat raw fish.

He's afraid the taste will evoke the sickening feeling he had in North Korea, eating fish he was sure had fed on the bodies of starvation victims dumped into rivers.

He feels anxious about money, so he keeps working. "I can't retire, ever," he says. "I'm not living off my wife -- I'm not doing that."

He might, he says, write another book about his life in North Korea -- half for the money and half to spite Kim Jong Il. "I don't have to get his permission to do something anymore," he says.

He keeps tabs on his old captors via the news on cable TV and says he pities the two U.S. reporters being held in North Korea. They're being played like cheap marionettes, just like he was, "dancing to Kim Jong Il's fiddle."

And he does a lot of remembering. The rest of his family just wants to forget, but Jenkins cannot. So on long walks along the scenic island back roads with his Labrador named Biscuit, the dog hears his stories.

Jenkins wonders about the soldiers he left behind that night before crossing the border north: Are they alive? Would they ever forgive him?

Often, involuntarily, the mindless North Korean political tracts Jenkins was once forced to learn invade his mind. He can't help but remember the beatings he received if he didn't know them well enough, and he winces.

Struggling with Japanese, he insists that the language isn't hard because it's grammatically similar to Korean. "All I've got to do is memorize the words," Jenkins says. Then he sighs. "But I'm tired of memorizing things."

john.glionna@latimes.com

Friday, June 12, 2009

Kim Jong who? Japanese TV station has egg on its moon face

It's funny when the media makes a big blunder. This one is especially hilarious. This is from the Los Angeles Times.



TV Asahi claimed to have an exclusive photo of Kim Jong Il's youngest son and heir apparent. Turned out to be a construction worker in South Korea.

The photograph was considered a journalistic coup, a recent image of the elusive 26-year-old son of North Korean strongman Kim Jong Il, who has reportedly been named the next leader of the secretive state.


The Internet snapshot released by a Tokyo television station purportedly showed an adult Kim Jong Un -- whose last known photo was taken at age 12 -- as a spitting image of his notorious father, right down to the moon face, coiffed hair and oversize sunglasses.

Trouble was, it wasn't the younger Kim at all, but a pudgy 40-year-old South Korean construction worker who also operates a website for fortunetellers. He says he is baffled as to how the Japanese got hold of his Internet image.

"I'm speechless," Bae Seok-bum told South Korea's Yonhap news service. "I only uploaded the picture to share with the members of my community how similar my face was to that of Kim Jong Il. I didn't think it would go this far."

The photo has quickly become an Internet sensation in Japan, South Korea and even China, dispersed via e-mail by amateur North Korea watchers.

Kim Jong Un is the youngest and favorite of three sons born to Kim Jong Il, who reportedly intensified his search for a successor after suffering a stroke last year. The youngest Kim was born to his father's third wife, the late Ko Yong Hi, a former dancer.

He reportedly likes to ski and play basketball and is an ardent fan of former NBA star Michael Jordan. He used a pseudonym to attend a boarding school in Switzerland. Since his return to North Korea as a teenager, he has not been photographed publicly, according to press reports.

South Korean news media say Kim favors his youngest son because he is most like him in both looks and personality.

South Korean legislators said this month that they had received classified information that Kim Jong Il had officially named Kim Jong Un as his successor.

Little is known about the young man. But a report by Cheong Seong-chang, director of the Inter-Korean Relations Studies Program at the Sejong Institute near Seoul, says he already suffers from high blood pressure and diabetes and that he speaks English.

Now Bae has been mistakenly linked to the infamous ruling family. He's being hounded by reporters, and in a brief interview with The Times said he is disturbed by all the attention.

"I don't even take lots of calls from reporters," he said.

Bae's day job is in construction. After work, he runs his website. He told reporters that he posted a photo on the site that was taken of him last year in a rural area of South Korea.

The snapshot of him in a white T-shirt earned him a nickname among friends: "General Secretary Kim Jong Il."

During a broadcast Wednesday, Japan's TV Asahi said the station had received information from an unnamed source who had met the younger Kim numerous times. It said the source told it that the authenticity of the photo was "90%."

The station superimposed the eyes of Kim Jong Il over the sunglasses in the photo to enhance the likeness.

"His fleshy face and shape look just like Kim Jong Il," a newsreader commented. "Also, there's a unique hairstyle with full volume that resembles his father's. . . . Aren't big sunglasses the tradition of the North Korean royal family?"

A day after its "scoop," TV Asahi retracted its claim to having an exclusive image of the young man.

"We have come to believe that there is high probability that the picture is of another person," it said.

john.glionna@latimes.com

Park is a news assistant in The Times'
Seoul Bureau.